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Predictive probability of success
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Predictive probability of success : ウィキペディア英語版
Predictive probability of success

Predictive probability of success (PPOS) is a statistics concept commonly used in pharmaceutical industry including by health authority to support decision making. In clinical trials, PPOS is the probability of observing a success in the future based on existing data.
== Types of PPOS ==

* Classification based on type of end point: Normal, binary, time to event.
* Classification based on the relationship between the trial providing data and the trial to be predicted
# Cross trial PPOS: using data from one trial to predict the other trial
# Within trial PPOS: using data at interim analysis to predict the same trial at final analysis
* Classification based on the relationship between the end point(s) with data and the end point to be predicted
# 1 to 1 PPOS: using one end point to predict the same end point
# 1 to 1
* PPOS: using one end point to predict another different but correlated end point

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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